*********** 061394A.ENV *********** Country: Various From: Appendix I Global Carbon Dioxide Emission Scenarios and their Basic Assumptions: Tsuneyuki MORITA, Yuzuru MATSUOKA, Ian PENNA, and Mikiko KAINUMA Center for Global Environmental Research 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305, Japan CGER-1011-94 77 p. KEYWORDS: Carbon Dioxide, Econometric Models, Greenhouse Gases, Global Warming +++++ Part THREE of a five part message which gives a brief summary of 74, count 'em, 74, various econometric models of global change based on Greenhouse Gas Emission predictions. The list is alphabetic by the AUTHOR/GROUP NAME and includes, in most cases, pertinent literature and model assumptions. The list is NOT alphabetized by the Model Name, which is generally how they are referred to in the Biz. ================================================== Part I: A-E Previous Message B.ENV 16 Models Part II: F-J Previous Message B.ENV 9 Models Part III: K-Mc THIS MESSAGE B.ENV 16 Models Part IV: Me-P Next message B.ENV 14 Models Part V: R-W Future message B.ENV 19 Models ================================================== Total 74 Models In some of the models, the assumptions include not only emission predictions from quasi-scientific models, but also political decisions as taxes etc. so go beyond simple extrapolation. Some models are discussed in much more detail than others. It certainly clear where the money is in global change research. This total document, put out by the Center for Global Environmental Research of Japan (see previous message), is a valuable compilation showing the diversity of the scenerios used. It is too bad I can't transmit some of the summary figures showing the wide divergence of the predictions. ************** END Msg. A.ENV **************